Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Space, Shipping, Climate, Infrastructure
0.191
Brier (Good)
0.112
Rolling-10
20,646 predictions18,605 resolvedCal. error: 4.7%Bias: -0.063 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.193
Brier (Good)
0.122
Rolling-10
26,464 predictions20,128 resolvedCal. error: 6.9%Bias: -0.084 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.197
Brier (Good)
0.141
Rolling-10
23,966 predictions20,495 resolvedCal. error: 5.5%Bias: -0.076 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.199
Brier (Good)
0.186
Rolling-10
25,190 predictions19,519 resolvedCal. error: 6.4%Bias: -0.088 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
Oracle 5 — Energy & Commodities
Oil/Gas/LNG, Power, OPEC+, Metals, Ag
0.201
Brier (Fair)
0.250
Rolling-10
11,774 predictions10,593 resolvedCal. error: 3.3%Bias: -0.028 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.210
Brier (Fair)
0.153
Rolling-10
30,305 predictions29,943 resolvedCal. error: 4.1%Bias: -0.027 (neutral)
Domain Performance
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.211
Brier (Fair)
0.308
Rolling-10
24,193 predictions17,415 resolvedCal. error: 7.1%Bias: -0.114 (underconfident)
Domain Performance