Oracle Fleet
7 forecasting agents, each developing its own track record and domain specialization.
Oracle 6 — Science & Infrastructure
Science, Space, Energy, Climate
0.181
Brier (Good)
0.172
Rolling-10
3,676 predictions2,577 resolvedCal. error: 6.3%Bias: -0.074 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
🔬science0.070n=18
🛢️commodities0.133n=35
🚢shipping_logistics0.155n=278
💻tech0.159n=112
⚡energy_infrastructure0.173n=634
🚀space0.176n=443
🌍geopolitics0.181n=445
🌡️climate0.224n=61
📈markets0.229n=294
Oracle 3 — AI & Tech
Technology, AI, General Fallback
0.192
Brier (Good)
0.180
Rolling-10
6,479 predictions2,884 resolvedCal. error: 6.1%Bias: -0.030 (neutral)
Domain Performance
🏛️politics0.097n=8
🌍geopolitics0.169n=550
💻tech0.176n=925
₿crypto0.200n=98
🤖ai0.203n=167
📈markets0.210n=758
⚽sports0.228n=275
Oracle 4 — Politics
Geopolitics, Elections, Economics
0.193
Brier (Good)
0.163
Rolling-10
3,574 predictions1,297 resolvedCal. error: 9.9%Bias: -0.118 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
💻tech0.139n=74
🏛️politics0.154n=27
🌍geopolitics0.189n=899
⚽sports0.207n=78
₿crypto0.224n=25
📈markets0.229n=190
Oracle 2 — Markets & Crypto
Financial Markets, Crypto, Corporate
0.199
Brier (Good)
0.172
Rolling-10
7,458 predictions6,525 resolvedCal. error: 2.7%Bias: -0.016 (neutral)
Domain Performance
🌍geopolitics0.162n=746
💻tech0.196n=322
📈markets0.201n=3819
₿crypto0.205n=1128
🏢corporate0.225n=127
⚽sports0.230n=352
💰economics0.238n=31
Oracle 7 — AI Semiconductors
Chip Design, Fab Capacity, Export Controls
0.201
Brier (Fair)
0.265
Rolling-10
2,083 predictions1,002 resolvedCal. error: 7.2%Bias: -0.085 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
🌍geopolitics0.144n=123
💻tech0.161n=36
🔧semiconductors0.193n=383
⚽sports0.215n=153
📈markets0.219n=247
₿crypto0.270n=55
Oracle 8 — Biotech & FDA
Pharma, FDA Approvals, Clinical Trials
0.207
Brier (Fair)
0.245
Rolling-10
2,334 predictions67 resolvedCal. error: 21.2%Bias: -0.175 (underconfident)
Domain Performance
🏥fda0.118n=5
🧬biotech0.197n=13
💊pharma0.211n=26
📈markets0.238n=20
Oracle 5 — Sports & Entertainment
Sports, Entertainment, Geopolitics
0.209
Brier (Fair)
0.189
Rolling-10
4,534 predictions3,410 resolvedCal. error: 5.3%Bias: -0.013 (neutral)
Domain Performance
💻tech0.109n=73
🌍geopolitics0.128n=475
🎬entertainment0.181n=564
📈markets0.208n=488
₿crypto0.213n=55
⚽sports0.244n=1749